I'm always excited to take on new projects and collaborate with innovative minds.

Address

Makongeni - Thika

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Project

Mortality Experience Analysis Study

Comprehensive mortality experience study with trend analysis and cohort effects for life insurance portfolio management and predictive mortality modeling.

Client

Creative Professional

Start Date

Nov 10, 2022
Mortality Experience Analysis Study

Project Scope:
I conducted a 5-year mortality experience study for a life insurance company's individual life portfolio, analyzing over 100,000 policy-years of exposure to assess the appropriateness of mortality assumptions used in pricing and reserving.

Methodology:
• Collected and validated historical policy data including exposures, deaths, and policy characteristics
• Calculated actual-to-expected (A/E) mortality ratios by age, gender, policy duration, and product type
• Performed trend analysis to identify mortality improvement patterns
• Applied credibility theory to determine statistical significance
• Conducted cohort analysis to identify generation effects

Results:
The analysis revealed that actual mortality experience was 92% of the assumed rates, with significant variation by age band and product line. I identified emerging trends in mortality improvement rates that differed from the standard tables being used.

Impact:
My findings led to a revision of the company's mortality assumptions, resulting in more competitive product pricing while maintaining adequate reserves. The updated assumptions improved the accuracy of financial projections by 8% and contributed to enhanced profitability in target market segments.

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